American Report: Gaza ceasefire fragility threatens return of Sana’a attacks in the Red Sea

Exclusive – Al-Khabar Al-Yemeni:

A report by the American magazine “Maritime Executive,” specialized in maritime affairs, revealed that the fragility of the ceasefire in Gaza represents the main factor in the increasing risks of Sana’a forces resuming their attacks on navigation in the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden, indicating that developments in the conflict in Palestine may push towards a new escalation that threatens international trade.

Fragile Agreement and Increasing Risks:

The report explained that the Sana’a leadership announced on January 19 the suspension of targeting American and British ships as long as the ceasefire between Israel and Hamas is in place, which led to a decrease in insurance premiums for ships passing through the Red Sea and the return of some shipping companies to work through this vital waterway.

However, despite this, the shipping industry considered the agreement fragile, as major transport companies such as “Maersk,” “Hapag-Lloyd,” “MSC,” and “CMA CGM” are still hesitant to resume trips, while some carriers, especially liquefied natural gas tankers, have returned despite the continued risks.

American and Israeli Escalation Increases Tension:

The report pointed out that the main trigger for this fragility is the rejection by Israel and the US of the Arab League’s proposal regarding the reconstruction of Gaza, which threatens the collapse of the truce and the resumption of military operations.

This rejection was accompanied by a noticeable American escalation, as on March 4, Washington sent a patrol of B-52 bombers off the coast of Gaza, and heavy American bombs were delivered via C-17 aircraft flying over the Nevatim air base in Israel. The American president also stated, “People of Gaza, if you continue to hold hostages, you are dead,” in a direct threat that reflects American intentions to escalate.

Escalation Scenarios and Their Impact on the Red Sea:

The magazine warned that any American or Israeli attempts to exert maximum pressure on Gaza could have serious consequences, the most prominent of which are:

1. Unrest in the Arab countries, which could be reflected in the instability of the region and lead to disruption of trade, oil, and gas supplies.

2. The resumption of Sana’a forces’ attacks on ships in the Red Sea, which will severely affect global maritime trade routes.

The New Equation: Sana’a is a Key Player in the Conflict:

The report reveals the growing importance of Sana’a forces as a key player in the regional equation, as their attacks in the Red Sea have become a strategic pressure card capable of influencing international decisions, which makes the current situation a candidate for further escalation if Israel continues to ignore diplomatic initiatives.